With the start of the Premier League season (yes!) just 24 hours away it is time to write yet another preview that no doubt I will look back on with utter contempt 9 months down the line. It just feels like yesterday that Kylian Mbappe was smashing in France’s fourth goal in their World Cup final triumph against Croatia and here we are at the dawn of a new Premier League season. It’s been a hectic few weeks since that night in Moscow as Premier League clubs realized that they shot themselves in the foot by accepting an earlier transfer window end date. Some clubs were smart and did their business early, others realized that the window was closing early with 24 hours to go – whilst some had managers who moaned throughout. Either way, here we are with fans of all twenty teams dreaming that this is their year where everyone regardless of financial backing starts at the place.
Champions – Manchester City
Despite no team retaining the title since 2009, it is hard to look beyond this Manchester City side winning the league again in 2018/19. Though they probably won’t win the league with such ease as they did last season but their closest rivals really haven’t strengthened enough to challenge them this season. They’ve kept all their key players, bought smartly though probably a midfielder short (as shown by their unsuccessful pursuit of Jorginho) and they have a manager who instead of arguing with the media/complaining about the club has got down to work and molded it in his way. The only way I can see City slipping up is if they put all their eggs into the Champions League basket in the New Year which is what I suspect they will do.
Top Four – 2) Liverpool 3) Manchester United 4) Chelsea
Liverpool addressed their biggest problem fairly early on in the window giving Alisson time to bed in before the season starts. Naby Keita and Fabinho further strengthen what was already a formidable midfield – and also gives additional cover to their vulnerable backline. Xherdan Shaqiri is a fantastic weapon in their already potent attacking arsenal. Provided Mohammed Salah doesn’t suffer from second season syndrome I would expect Liverpool to come very close to Man City for title (with the Citizens winning out). The only flaw in this Liverpool side I see now is their backline. You lose Van Dijk through injury and then Lovren will be exposed.
Ah Manchester United. For all of Mr Mourinho’s complaints over the last few weeks this is still a good side. You have arguably the best midfielder in the world at the moment in Paul Pogba fresh off of a sensational World Cup and Romelu Lukaku in full confidence. Like with Liverpool they do have defensive frailties, I mean Phil Jones is still a professional footballer somehow. Diego Dalot is still young and will take time to settle into this side but once he does I can see him being a mainstay of a Mourinho side. Fred never really impressed me at Shakhtar and was unfortunate to miss out at the World Cup due to injury so it will be interesting to see if he is fully fit in the first few weeks of the season, perhaps when paired with someone as good as Pogba he will be able to bring out his best. If Pogba and Lukaku stay fit then you have a side that is not only capable of finishing very close to City but also going far in the Champions League. If they don’t, then I suspect Jose Mourinho won’t last the season.
Chelsea have had the oddest pre-season of all Premier League teams. Maurizio Sarri took over as manager a day after Antonio Conte took the first day of pre-season training. Then they ended up smuggling Jorginho right under the noses of Man City and it looked like the transfer activity would kick in then. It didn’t. Up until 24 hours before the transfer window closed the only signings Chelsea made were the aforementioned Jorginho and Robert Green. Then having been so comfortably beaten by City in the community shield and the prospect of Thibaut Courtois going to Real Madrid the club splurged 71m on Kepa. For all the good I’ve heard about him he is still only 23 years old and hasn’t played a match with the current Chelsea backline. So the risk factor involved in this for all parties is huge. The other signing Chelsea made before the window closed was Matteo Kovacic from Real Madrid on an initial loan. I’ve loved Kovacic since his Inter days and it was fairly clear on Sunday that Cesc Fabregas would have difficulty playing under Sarri so this is a good signing – but again it will take time for Kovacic to be match fit considering he hasn’t played in pre-season, barely featured at the World Cup and allegedly went on boycott to force through this Chelsea move. The glaring problem Chelsea have is upfront, Alvaro Morata quite clearly is not good enough at the moment and it remains to be seen if Sarri can get something out of Chelsea’s previous record signing. If somehow he does then you have a Chelsea side which will play for its manager and play some fantastic attacking football – even if it takes a few weeks to get the ball rolling.
Top Six – 5) Arsenal 6) Tottenham
A new era at Arsenal in more ways than one. Firstly Arsene Wenger was binned and replaced by John Cusack’s body double Unai Emery – who I have loathed since 2010. Secondly and perhaps more importantly in the long run they have Stan Kroenke as their chairman and him alone. Like Chelsea and Liverpool they have a new number 1 goal keeper in Bernd Leno who should immediately come in to replace Petr Cech. In Lacazette, Aubameyang and Mesut Ozil they have one of the best attacking trio in the Premier League and when firing you will be hard pressed to find a more aesthetically pleasing sight. However with Arsenal consistency was always the downfall for Wenger and perhaps having an astute tactician in Emery they will find some consistency or at least that triumvirate will. Where they will struggle though will be their always shaky defence. They have signed Sokratis who should provide a good partner to Laurent Koscielny once the Frenchman returns from injury and Lichtsteiner on a free transfer was an astute bit of business from Emery, though it remains to be seen if the Swiss international can cut it in the Premier League at his age. I don’t think they have the quality to challenge the top 4 just yet as I believe Emery doesn’t have the tools at his disposal to get there, he needs a season to get himself acclimatized with the Premier League and it remains to be seen what plans Kroenke has with this side going forward.
The biggest losers from the transfer window shutting early were Tottenham who made history by becoming the first side in Premier League history since 2003 not to buy a player in the summer transfer window. Spurs are going to struggle especially in the early part of the season as the majority of their players were involved in the latter stages of the World Cup and haven’t really had much of a pre-season and most of them were their key players. A lot will once again rest on the shoulders of Harry Kane to score the goals and if he is injured then Spurs are going to be in panic mode. They’ve done well to tie most of their players down to long term contracts and do have an academy which produces good young talent so I suspect Mauricio Pochettino to tap into that certainly in the early part of the season. But it will be a struggle from now to January and Daniel Levy’s hardball gamble is finally going to bite them in the backside. The only positive for them is for the three sides chasing that fourth spot Spurs have continuity on their side and if the other two struggle to get into their new manager’s stride then Spurs could potentially beat them both out for fourth place.
Relegated – Burnley, Huddersfield & Cardiff
I like Sean Dyche partly because he looks like Triple H and partly because I feel like sucking on a Strepsil when I hear him speak. But I look at the Burnley side and barring a late flurry they’ve not really strengthened. Joe Hart is an odd signing given they have two quality goalkeepers in Nick Pope and Tom Heaton – but perhaps getting Hart in for European experience is a shrewd move. Ben Gibson and Matej Vydra are both Championship quality players and whilst I know Dyche has a penchant of coaching players I just don’t think they will have the quality to sustain a Europa League campaign and a Premier League one with the side they have. We’ve seen in the past that sides often struggle to juggle the two and I think that could be the case with Burnley here. They were magnificent last season in finishing seventh but when you look at the teams around them I sadly think they will struggle this year.
Huddersfield survived by the skin of their teeth last season to use a cliché. Primarily because West Brom were absolutely mesmerized by Alan Pardew’s shiny teeth and also because Stoke and Swansea both shot themselves in the foot. Majority of Huddersfield’s signings have been securing players on permanent transfers that they had on loan last season whilst Ramadan Sobhi will perform better in a David Wagner side as opposed to a Mark Hughes/Paul Lambert side and Erik Durm is a solid addition that Wagner knows well from his time in Germany. But when you look at what the newly promoted teams around them have done especially Wolves and Fulham who have thrown money left right and center it is very difficult to see Huddersfield staying up again this season. What Wagner does have in his favour though a team that is now seasoned in the Premier League (and a manager too) so they have that know how this time around to grind out results.
In Colin Wa— Neil Warnock Cardiff have a manager who knows how to get promoted but I’m not sure knows how to keep his team in the Premier League. Which is why I wouldn’t be surprised if Warnock is the first manager sacked this season. They’ve not signed anyone who you’d say is proven Premier League quality and whilst Warnock is known to get the best out of his team (certainly in the Championship) this is going to be a long and difficult season for Cardiff. Unlike Wolves and Fulham who threw money at everything that moved, Cardiff have been shrewd perhaps because the last time Vincent Tan was in the Premier League and threw around money he got Andreas Cornelius.
So that is my Premier League team preview of the season, tomorrow I shall have my player preview of the season where I try to guess who will be the best and worst signings of the season plus many more odd categories. What do you think of the above? Do leave a comment below or on my twitter feed!
